New York KnicksVSWashington Wizards

Who will win New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards?

Our lean: Washington Wizards. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.

What are the odds for New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards?

Home: 1.174, Away: 5.36. Odds may update frequently.

What is the best bet for New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards?

Best bet: Washington Wizards moneyline given current prices.

Details

We compare market-implied probabilities to our estimated true chances. The market prices the Knicks at decimal 1.174 (implied ~85.2%) and the Wizards at 5.36 (implied ~18.7%). Research shows New York has been 2-3 in their last 5 games and has underperformed ATS in several recent matchups, while Washington has a recent head-to-head win (120-103 on 13/10/2025) and the historical H2H/ATS numbers indicate the Knicks can be overrated in matchups with the Wizards. Accounting for home advantage and roster gap, we conservatively estimate the Wizards' true win probability at 22.0%. At that probability the Wizards’ current price (5.36) offers positive expected value: EV = 0.22 * 5.36 - 1 = +0.179 (17.9% ROI). The minimum fair decimal price for that probability is 1/0.22 = 4.545, which is well below the available 5.36, indicating value on the away moneyline.