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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles play on 2025-11-05 01:00 in the NCAA (basketball). Compare basketball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 12.8%. Suggested side: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles. Moneyline — Home: 1.02 (98.0%), Away: 9.4 (10.6%).
High-scoring 5v5 with a 24-second shot clock; NBA and global leagues.
Our lean: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 1.02, Away: 9.4. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles moneyline given current prices.
We find clear value on Oral Roberts at current moneyline pricing. The market-implied probability for Oklahoma State at 1.02 is extreme (~98%) and almost certainly overstated given available context: Oral Roberts has no reported injuries and has shown the ability to cover in the recent H2H sample (4-1 ATS) despite being 0-6 SU vs Oklahoma State. Early-season college games carry volatility and small-sample H2H/SU streaks can overstate dominance. We estimate Oral Roberts' true upset probability materially above the market-implied ~10.6% for a 9.4 price. Using a conservative estimated true probability of 12%, the expected value at 9.4 decimal odds is positive (EV = 0.12 * 9.4 - 1 = 0.128, or +12.8% ROI). Given the heavy favourite juice on Oklahoma State (1.02) and no injury reports for Oral Roberts, the away moneyline at 9.4 offers value.
Summary: We recommend backing Oral Roberts at 9.4 decimal because we estimate a ~12% chance of an upset, producing a positive EV (~12.8% ROI) versus the market-implied ~10.6%.