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BC Dubai vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv play on 2025-11-06 18:00 in the Euroleague (basketball). Compare basketball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 27.6%. Suggested side: BC Dubai. Moneyline — Home: 2.26 (44.2%), Away: 1.641 (60.9%).
High-scoring 5v5 with a 24-second shot clock; NBA and global leagues.
Our lean: BC Dubai. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 2.26, Away: 1.641. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: BC Dubai moneyline given current prices.
We find value backing BC Dubai at the current home moneyline (2.32). An independent algorithm in our Research gives Dubai a ~54% win probability and Dubai has strong recent form (4-1 in last five). Hapoel is noted to be missing Tomer Ginat, which weakens their roster. The market prices Hapoel as the favorite (implied away probability ~58.5% at 1.71) while the implied probability for Dubai at 2.32 is only ~43.1%. Using a conservative combined true probability for Dubai of 55% (near the algorithm prediction and supported by form and opponent injury), the current price (2.32) offers substantial positive expected value (EV = 0.55*2.32 - 1 = 0.276). We therefore recommend the home side only because EV > 0 at available prices; if the market tightens toward fair odds (~1.82 or shorter) the edge disappears.
Summary: We see value on BC Dubai at 2.32 — our estimated win probability (55%) implies fair odds ~1.818, so the current price generates ~27.6% ROI on a 1-unit stake.