BC Aris ThessalonikiVSAO Mykonos BC

Who will win BC Aris Thessaloniki vs AO Mykonos BC?

Our lean: AO Mykonos BC. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.

What are the odds for BC Aris Thessaloniki vs AO Mykonos BC?

Home: 1.32, Away: 3.45. Odds may update frequently.

What is the best bet for BC Aris Thessaloniki vs AO Mykonos BC?

Best bet: AO Mykonos BC moneyline given current prices.

Details

We base our fair probability on the available model data: Forebet gives Aris a 53% win probability, which implies AO Mykonos has ~47% chance. The market price for Mykonos (3.45) implies only ~29% probability, creating a large positive edge. Using p=0.47 and the current away decimal 3.45 yields EV = 0.47*3.45 - 1 = 0.6215 (62.15% ROI on a 1-unit stake). We caution that most other research points to Aris as the stronger/home side (venue Alexandreio and H2H tilt to Aris), so the fair 47% for Mykonos is driven directly by converting the single quoted model's Aris probability into the away complement. Given the sizable discrepancy between our estimated true probability and market-implied probability, Mykonos represents value at the posted 3.45, but the recommendation carries model and information risk because the forecast set is limited and favors Aris overall.