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Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pacers play on 2025-11-12 02:00 in the NBA (basketball). Compare basketball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 10.2%. Suggested side: Utah Jazz. Moneyline — Home: 2.12 (47.2%), Away: 1.82 (54.9%).
The premier men’s professional basketball league in North America with 30 teams.
82-game regular season, Play-In Tournament, then best-of-7 playoff series to the Finals.
Official: https://www.nba.com · Wiki: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Basketball_Association
Our lean: Utah Jazz. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 2.12, Away: 1.82. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Utah Jazz moneyline given current prices.
We estimate Utah has a better-than-marketed chance to win this game. The market prices Utah at 2.12 (implied ~47.3%). After weighing the research — Indiana's 1-9 start and extended losing form, Utah's superior home profile and size/rebounding matchup advantage, and both teams showing defensive issues but Utah having marginally better recent performances — we assign Utah a true win probability of 52.0%. That makes the current Utah price (2.12) mispriced versus our view: market implied 47.3% vs our 52.0%, producing positive expected value. We also note uncertainty from mixed form lines and limited injury detail, so the edge is value-based rather than a certainty.
Summary: We see value on Utah at 2.12 because Indiana's poor form and Utah's home/matchup advantages justify a win probability above the market-implied level.