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Home Win vs Away Win play on 2026-02-04 20:00 in the Spain Copa del Rey (football). Compare football odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 0.0%. No recommended side at current prices. Moneyline — Home: 2.55 (39.2%), Away: 2.57 (38.9%).
Global 11v11 sport with two 45-minute halves; major leagues worldwide.
No clear edge at current prices. We recommend passing or waiting for line movement.
Home: 2.55, Away: 2.57. Odds may update frequently.
No bet recommended right now.
We reviewed the available Copa del Rey prediction sources which present a balanced outlook with no clear, consistent edge for either side. The market moneyline quotes (Home 2.55, Away 2.57) imply roughly 39% chances for each side. Given the lack of team-specific indicators in the provided research and consensus models that show an even matchup, we estimate the true-win probability for the side-most-likely-to-win at 38.8%. At that probability the break-even decimal odds are 2.577; the best current price (2.57) is just shy of that threshold, producing a small negative expected value (EV = 0.388 * 2.57 - 1 = -0.00284). Because the available prices do not offer positive EV based on our conservative probability estimate, we recommend no bet.
Summary: No value at current prices — our conservative fair probability (38.8%) requires odds ≥ 2.577 to be +EV, while the best available price is 2.57, producing a small negative EV.