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Remo vs Mirassol play on 2026-02-04 23:00 in the Brazil - Serie A (football). Compare football odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 45.5%. Suggested side: Remo. Moneyline — Home: 2.71 (36.9%), Away: 2.6 (38.5%).
Global 11v11 sport with two 45-minute halves; major leagues worldwide.
Our lean: Remo. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 2.71, Away: 2.6. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Remo moneyline given current prices.
We find clear value on Remo (home). One source gives Remo a win probability of 53.7% while the market price (decimal 2.71) implies only a 36.9% chance. Using the quoted model probability (53.7%) vs the market odds yields a positive expected value: EV = 0.537 * 2.71 - 1 = +0.455 (45.5% ROI on a 1-unit stake). The away price (2.60) implies ~38.5% and does not align with the provided model advantage for Remo. H2H data shows Remo has not lost recent meetings and Mirassol form is described as inconsistent, which supports the model edge. Given the available research and the current widely-available moneyline, backing Remo represents a value bet.
Summary: We recommend betting Remo at the current decimal 2.71 because the quoted 53.7% win probability creates substantial positive EV versus the market-implied ~36.9%.