MirassolVSFlamengo

Who will win Mirassol vs Flamengo?

Our lean: Flamengo. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.

What are the odds for Mirassol vs Flamengo?

Home: 1.331, Away: 7.45. Odds may update frequently.

What is the best bet for Mirassol vs Flamengo?

Best bet: Flamengo moneyline given current prices.

Details

The published market prices show Mirassol as an overwhelming favorite at 1.331 while Flamengo is available at a long 7.45. The research snippets indicate Flamengo are the stronger side historically (they won the only recent H2H and are generally the higher-profile Serie A club), while Mirassol's home matches have heavy goal involvement but not clear superiority over Flamengo. The market appears mispriced here: we estimate Flamengo's true chance to win is substantially higher than the implied 13.4% at 7.45, producing clear value on the away side. At a conservative estimated win probability of 60% for Flamengo, the bet at 7.45 yields a very large positive expected value versus the market price; the minimum fair odds for that probability would be ~1.667, so 7.45 is a major pricing anomaly.