Tennessee VolunteersVSOle Miss Rebels

Who will win Tennessee Volunteers vs Ole Miss Rebels?

Our lean: Tennessee Volunteers. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.

What are the odds for Tennessee Volunteers vs Ole Miss Rebels?

Home: 1.14, Away: 5. Odds may update frequently.

What is the best bet for Tennessee Volunteers vs Ole Miss Rebels?

Best bet: Tennessee Volunteers moneyline given current prices.

Details

We compare the market-implied probability for Tennessee at decimal 1.14 (≈87.7%) to our assessed true probability of Tennessee winning at home of 90%. Our projection is driven by pronounced home dominance (16-1 SU in the last 17 home games) and a strong recent head-to-head home record versus Ole Miss (5-0 SU in last 5 home meetings). With no injury or lineup concerns provided in the research and consistent form indicators, we judge Tennessee's true win chance to be meaningfully above the market-implied rate. At a 90% true probability the expected value on the current home moneyline (1.14) is positive: EV = 0.90 * 1.14 - 1 = 0.026 (2.6% ROI). The minimum fair decimal odds given our probability is 1.111, and the market is offering 1.14, so this presents a small edge. We acknowledge uncertainty in any single-game forecast and that the edge is modest, but it meets the criterion for a value bet at available prices.